http://overthehegemon.com/2005/11/23/statistics-101-second-session/ If life is a journey with the same destination, then why do we all think that we have different road maps? Fri, 10 Sep 2010 02:06:51 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=1.5.2 http://overthehegemon.com/2005/11/23/statistics-101-second-session/#comment-1722 Sun, 22 Oct 2006 00:42:12 +0000 http://overthehegemon.com/2005/11/23/statistics-101-second-session/#comment-1722 [...] You’ll remember that sometime back we had a lesson in polling and statistics. At that time I said, “Trend lines are the single most important part of the polling process. Any single poll is a snapshot. It can’t tell you anything more than what’s happening at that moment in time. However, a trend line will give a fuller picture. Public opinion will ebb and flow on any subject. If public support falls below 40% though, it’s hard to get back. Approval ratings hold to this rule harder then a 3-year old hangs on to your leg when they want a new toy. You don’t come back from a rating below 40%.” [...] […] You’ll remember that sometime back we had a lesson in polling and statistics. At that time I said, “Trend lines are the single most important part of the polling process. Any single poll is a snapshot. It can’t tell you anything more than what’s happening at that moment in time. However, a trend line will give a fuller picture. Public opinion will ebb and flow on any subject. If public support falls below 40% though, it’s hard to get back. Approval ratings hold to this rule harder then a 3-year old hangs on to your leg when they want a new toy. You don’t come back from a rating below 40%.” […]

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